Wednesday’s Weekly Wrap Up with JV and 7 (via Instagram live stream) covered Julio Jones, who took over the news this week, signing with the Bucs on Tuesday. At some point, you have to question whether Tampa Bay is an NFL team, or an old folks home. It’s turned into a fantastic retirement plan with great weather, zero taxes, and favorable odds to win a Super Bowl. I would imagine that any of you would take a slight pay cut (yet still making millions) for a life on vacation in the sunshine state. It’s the perfect set up for Jones nearing the end of his career, but the signing has thrown fantasy owners into a dazed confusion on how to value Brady’s weapons this year.
Mike Evans should see a minor drop in his ADP, but there’s no doubt that he still provides top-12 fantasy value as a deep threat for Brady. Even with Chris Godwin, Antonio Brown, Leonard Fournette, and Gronkowski producing at elite levels in 2021, Evans still finished as the WR8 (Half PPR) overall. He’s also recorded 1000+ receiving yards in all 8 seasons since entering the league, and caught 10+ TD’s in back to back years in 2020 and 2021. Evans is about as safe as it gets when your shopping for a mid-low value WR1.
Chris Godwin and Russel Gage were both solid values prior to the arrival of Jones, but now it’s unlikely they’ll maintain their same worth . Although recovered, Godwin most likely won’t be 100% for the majority of the season which should worry you as a fantasy owner. Meanwhile, Gage was set to have a breakout season in a similar role to Antonio Brown, but with Jones now soaking up targets, Gage isn’t the deep sleeper he once was. It might still be smart to take a shot on Godwin or Gage, but don’t rely on top level production consistently.
Jones was a non-factor last season with the Titans, but he should be a late-round pickup in your drafts. Brady’s proven that he can produce 3 top 20 WR’s over a full season which is amazing news for Jones’ fantasy production. By no means should you draft Jones expecting a top 15 finish, but he’ll be a great flex play barring any injuries throughout the season. In fact, even in a receiving room packed with talent, anyone on the Bucs is at least a decent fantasy value in that high powered offense.
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